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2024-12-14 01:33:18

The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.Reaffirming that the army will be mobilized to expel all illegal immigrants, Trump's latest statement revealed more details. On December 12, local time, US President-elect Trump reiterated in an interview that he plans to use the army to the maximum extent permitted by law and promote large-scale expulsion of illegal immigrants. Trump called illegal immigrants "an invasion of the country" and promised to cooperate with federal resources, including the National Guard, to quickly implement deportation. It is reported that Trump plans to declare a state of emergency, allocate resources to support this action, and may build new facilities to resettle immigrants waiting for repatriation. He also stressed that he hopes to reduce the demand for detention facilities through rapid expulsion. The analysis pointed out that although the National Guard has been used to support border patrols before, including the Democratic and Republican parties, it has not directly participated in immigration law enforcement. This time, the Trump team plans to use the military to provide support in transportation, infrastructure construction and intelligence, but the arrest will be carried out by immigration officials. Trump also suggested in the interview that he would expel all illegal immigrants in the next four years. According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of January 2022, there were about 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States, and this number may increase recently. In this regard, some studies believe that the full implementation of the plan is costly, or it will have a far-reaching impact on industries that rely on immigrant labor. On November 18, local time, US President-elect Trump confirmed on the social media platform that the US military would be mobilized by declaring the country into a state of emergency, thus expelling illegal immigrants from the United States. (CCTV News)There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)


CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.In the third quarter of the United States, the net worth of households changed by $4,765.9 billion, and the previous value was $2,760 billion.ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.


American natural gas futures rose by 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.480/million British heat.Spot gold fell below $2,680 per ounce, down 1.38% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell 2.00% in the day and are now reported at $2701.50 per ounce.In the first 10 months of this year, the number of tourists from China to Hungary nearly doubled. According to the latest data from the Hungarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, a total of 183,000 tourists from China arrived in Hungary in the first 10 months of this year, nearly doubling compared with the same period last year.

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